Micah Mitchell, Author at Madison County Weather Updates

The Dangers of Microbursts

When it comes to severe weather, we’ve kind of been conditioned to fear tornadoes, and *ONLY* tornadoes. However, Microbursts and straight line winds are just as dangerous, and are far more frequent in our area.

The Oscillations Visualized

In videos and posts, you often hear me refer to the Aleutian Low, Pacific North American Teleconnection (PNA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Cross Polar Flow, and Southeast Ridge among the many factors in our weather. While there are dozens of oscillations and teleconnections, these are the ones that most directly affect our weather; especially in […]

Effects of Humidity on Weather

There are dozens of ingredients that influence our surface weather conditions. One of the strongest influences comes from water vapor. The main ways we tend to note water vapor near the surface are via measurements of Relative Humidity (RH), Dew Point Temperature (DP), and Precipitable Water (PWAT). You may have noticed you often hear us […]

What is an “Urban Heat Island?”

Have you ever wondered why official temperatures for cities are actually taken at airports or other remote locations? If you have a thermometer in your car, perhaps on sunny days you’ve noticed that the temperature tends to increase the further you travel into a town, with the effects being greater in larger towns. Or, maybe […]

How “Madison County Weather Updates” Came to Be

I’ve been asked numerous times how Madison County Weather Updates came to be. At the time of writing this, Madison County Weather Updates has over 10,500 Facebook followers, plus 592 on Twitter, and 511 on Instagram. The Instagram page was only created a few months ago, but the Twitter page has been around for as […]

Historic Temperature Trends for Anderson and Madison County

I’ve been asked several times about the temperature trends for Madison County. Are temperatures getting warmer? Are they getting colder? Is there even a trend? So in this short article I will tackle that question. The attached charts cover the mean or median temperature of every year from 1896 (the first complete year of data […]

Madison County, Historic Temp, Precip, and Snowfall Trends

Is Madison County getting warmer? Is there more rain or less? What about snow (this trend surprised me)? More details in this video.

Are the forecast models crazy?

MOST of the forecast models spitting out 12-15″ of snow for Madison County. Are they crazy?

2-13-2021 – Winter Storm Update

Here are our latest thoughts on the progress of the Monday storm.

2-12-2021 Update on Winter Storm

NWS has issued a WINTER STORM WATCH including Madison County from Sunday night thru Tuesday morning. Analysis in the video.

1-29-2021 Update on tomorrow’s Winter Storm

Here’s the latest model data and NWS forecast for the storm tomorrow and how it relates to our forecast.

January 24, 2021 Update on the Monday-Tuesday system

Latest thoughts on the rain, snow, ice potential for tomorrow into Tuesday.

January 23, 2021 Update on the two phased system tomorrow thru Tuesday

Update in the declining snow chances and j increasing ice and rain chances for tomorrow through Tuesday morning.

January 19, 2021 Update on the upcoming pattern

Are the forecast models seeing something we can’t regarding snow early next week?

The Danger of Deterministic Models

Using Deterministic models can be forecasting poison. Here’s why.

January 16-17, 2021 Snow Chances

Here’s a short video about snow chances today and tomorrow.

The Oscillations Visualized

In videos and posts, you often hear me refer to the Aleutian Low, Pacific North American Teleconnection (PNA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Cross Polar Flow, and Southeast Ridge among the many factors in our weather. While there are dozens of oscillations and teleconnections, these are the ones that most directly affect our weather; especially in […]

Possible Ice New Year’s morning

We may have a significant ice event New Year’s morning. Details in the video.

The Bering Sea – Why Do We Watch IT?

If you’ve followed our Facebook Page for long, and to a lesser extent our Twitter (due to character limits) and Instagram (due to short time of existence), you’ve no doubt seen and heard me refer to what’s going on in the Bering Sea and Aleutian Island chain. There’s a solid reason for that, and I […]

Madison County, Historic Temp, Precip, and Snowfall Trends

Is Madison County getting warmer? Is there more rain or less? What about snow (this trend surprised me)? More details in this video.

Update on the November 30, 2020 Snow

What are we thinking and why? Details in the video.

(Video) POSSIBLE Winter Storm Nov 30 to Dec 1

We may have the first snow of the season brewing, and it may be a winter storm. More details in this video.