Nov 11 – 17, 2026: We almost reached 70° this afternoon. Lows in the Upper 30s tonight. SPC has much of Central Indiana, including part of Madison County, in a Marginal Severe Risk Tomorrow Afternoon. Damaging Winds are the main threat with a very isolated tornado risk. I believe the severe risk may be shifted farther east. MUCH cooler air rushes in after that cold front, with an Isolated Wintry Mix possible Friday. Morning Freezes will be likely over the weekend into early next.

Looking into the mid to long range, warmer than average temperatures will return, especially around the 20th. Then we’ll keep an eye on how things shape up the week of Thanksgiving into early December. There’s a LOT of debate on how cool we will get, and how well that colder air can hold. There is also a ton of debate about how prolonged the currently beginning Stratospheric Polar Vortex disruption will be, and IF it will couple to the surface or not. IF it does, and IF that displacement is toward North America, that could bring cold air for mid to late December. There are a LOT of IFs, especially during a strong El Niño. So, I’ll just wait it out before jumping to conclusions one way or the other. #MadCoWx #INwx